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Question #41046

Difficulty: 8/10 | 🟢 Free

The Question

Let Ω={1,2,3,4,5,6,7}\Omega = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7\} be a sample space equipped with a valid probability measure PP. Consider the events E1={1,2,3,4}E_1 = \{1, 2, 3, 4\}, E2={3,4,5,6}E_2 = \{3, 4, 5, 6\}, and E3={1,2,5,6}E_3 = \{1, 2, 5, 6\}. It is given that E1,E2E_1, E_2, and E3E_3 are pairwise independent events and P(E1)=P(E2)=P(E3)=p>0P(E_1) = P(E_2) = P(E_3) = p > 0. What is the value of P({7})P(\{7\})?

Options

  • A.

    17\frac{1}{7}

  • B.

    14\frac{1}{4}

  • C.

    18\frac{1}{8}

  • D.

    12\frac{1}{2}

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Step-by-Step Solution

Explanation

How the Examiner Thinks

Bridge

Practice problems that bridge the gap between foundational theory and advanced practical application.

Concepts Behind This Question

Axiomatic Probability Constraints|Independent vs Disjoint Events|Equiprobability Fallacy

Why This Question Is Tricky

Common Mistakes

This question targets the Equiprobability Fallacy and tests strict adherence to Axiomatic Probability Constraints.

Students often assume that a sample space of 7 elements implies a uniform probability distribution (P({i})=1/7P(\{i\}) = 1/7), which acts as a lethal trap here.

By enforcing pairwise independence on non-disjoint, symmetrically overlapping events, the problem dictates a non-uniform measure.

The student must rely on the additivity axiom over disjoint subsets and the definition of independence to algebraically deduce the true probability measure, revealing that the visual symmetry of the sets masks a strictly constrained, non-equiprobable space.

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Question Information

SubjectMathematics
ChapterProbability - Class 11
ConceptAxiomatic Probability Constraints
Difficulty8
Cognitive Load7
Target Solve Time160 sec
AccessFree