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Question #41035

Difficulty: 8/10 | 🟢 Free

The Question

A unit vector u^\hat{u} is chosen uniformly at random in R3\mathbb{R}^3. Let π\pi be a plane passing through the origin with a fixed normal vector n^\hat{n}. Let v⃗\vec{v} be the orthogonal projection of u^\hat{u} onto the plane π\pi. Consider the triangle TT whose vertices are the origin OO, and the points UU and VV such that OU⃗=u^\vec{OU} = \hat{u} and OV⃗=v⃗\vec{OV} = \vec{v}. Let E1E_1 be the event that the area of triangle TT is at most 38\frac{\sqrt{3}}{8}, and E2E_2 be the event that ∣v⃗∣≤12|\vec{v}| \le \frac{1}{2}. Find the conditional probability P(E2∣E1)P(E_2 \mid E_1).

Options

  • A.

    3−36\frac{3 - \sqrt{3}}{6}

  • B.

    12\frac{1}{2}

  • C.

    3+36\frac{3 + \sqrt{3}}{6}

  • D.

    33\frac{\sqrt{3}}{3}

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Correct Answer

Step-by-Step Solution

Explanation

How the Examiner Thinks

Bridge

Practice problems that bridge the gap between foundational theory and advanced practical application.

Concepts Behind This Question

Conditional Probability Foundations|Orthogonal projection of a line|Unit Vector Normalization

Why This Question Is Tricky

Common Mistakes

This problem tests the student's understanding of probability measures on a sphere versus its orthogonal projection.

The core trap is a 'double naive measure' fallacy.

Students often incorrectly assume that either the projected vector v⃗\vec{v} is uniformly distributed on the unit disk, or that the polar angle θ\theta is uniformly distributed in [0,π/2][0, \pi/2].

Remarkably, both of these incorrect assumptions lead to the exact same erroneous probability of 1/21/2.

To solve correctly, students must recognize that a uniform distribution of unit vectors in R3\mathbb{R}^3 implies the polar angle θ\theta has a probability density function of sin⁡θ\sin\theta, which acts as the Jacobian for the spherical measure, fundamentally altering the probability space of the geometric inequalities.

Quick Facts About This Question

Question Information

SubjectMathematics
ChapterProbability - Class 11
ConceptConditional Probability Foundations
Difficulty8
Cognitive Load7
Target Solve Time160 sec
AccessFree